Florida Gulf Coast
W-L: (35-21) PR = 94.0658Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 2- 1 214 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 19-18 215 H North Dakota State SM ( 4-14, 91.9) 10- 6 218 A Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 6- 1 220 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 10- 7 221 H Stonehill NE F.l ( 0- 3, 88.1) 4- 3 222 H Stonehill NE F.l ( 0- 3, 88.1) 14- 7 224 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 17- 1 225 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 4- 5 227 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 4-10 228 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 11- 5 301 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 4- 3 304 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 5- 7 306 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 11- 3 307 A Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 13- 5 308 A Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 8- 9 310 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 11- 6 313 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 11- 0 313 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 2- 1 314 H Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 4- 2 317 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 12-13 320 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 4- 5 321 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 6- 2 322 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 4- 6 324 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 3- 7 327 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 5- 4 331 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 4-12 402 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 4- 9 403 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 6- 9 404 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 6- 2 410 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4- 3 411 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 1- 4 412 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 4- 1 414 A Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 8- 6 417 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 5- 6 418 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 5- 0 419 A Queens University AS (15-39, 89.8) 5- 6 421 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 10- 9 424 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 3- 5 425 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 5- 3 426 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 13- 3 428 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 1- 8 501 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 8- 1 502 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6- 2 503 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 2- 1 506 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 9- 8 508 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 7- 6 509 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 10- 5 510 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 5- 2 512 H Florida Atlantic AME (28-26, 93.8) 3- 9 514 H SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 3- 3 515 H Northwestern State SL ( 4-12, 91.3) 2- 4 516 A Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 1- 2 521 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 4- 3 521 A Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 1- 4 522 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 3- 1 523 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H North Dakota State 2- 1 1 3 -1.88
214 H North Dakota State 19-18 1 3 -1.88
215 H North Dakota State 10- 6 4 3 1.12
218 A Kansas 6- 1 5 -4 +++ 8.75
220 A Iowa 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.44
221 H Stonehill 4- 3 1 7 -- -5.65
222 H Stonehill 14- 7 7 7 0.35
224 H Indiana State 17- 1 16 2 +++ 11.57
225 H Indiana State 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.43
227 H Boston College 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.88
228 H Boston College 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.12
301 H Boston College 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.12
304 H The Citadel 5- 7 -2 0 -1.80
306 H Jacksonville State 11- 3 8 -2 +++ 10.34
307 A Bethune-Cookman 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.28
308 A Bethune-Cookman 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.72
310 A Florida International 11- 6 5 1 ++ 4.39
313 H Queens University 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.04
313 H Queens University 2- 1 1 5 - -3.96
314 H Queens University 4- 2 2 5 - -2.96
317 H Campbell 12-13 -1 -1 -0.38
320 A North Florida 4- 5 -1 0 -0.93
321 H Texas A&M 6- 2 4 -4 +++ 8.25
322 A North Florida 4- 6 -2 0 -1.93
324 H South Florida 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.16
327 H Stetson 5- 4 1 2 -0.98
331 A Miami of Florida 4-12 -8 -2 -- -5.74
402 A West Georgia 4- 9 -5 2 --- -7.31
403 A West Georgia 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.31
404 A West Georgia 6- 2 4 2 1.69
410 A South Alabama 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.80
411 H Jacksonville 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.10
412 H Jacksonville 4- 1 3 1 1.90
414 A Florida Atlantic 8- 6 2 0 + 2.36
417 A Queens University 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.61
418 A Queens University 5- 0 5 4 1.39
419 A Queens University 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.61
421 H Florida International 10- 9 1 2 -0.96
424 H North Florida 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.28
425 H North Florida 5- 3 2 1 0.72
426 H North Florida 13- 3 10 1 +++ 8.72
428 H Florida Atlantic 1- 8 -7 1 --- -7.99
501 A Stetson 8- 1 7 1 +++ 6.37
502 A Stetson 6- 2 4 1 + 3.37
503 A Stetson 2- 1 1 1 0.37
506 A Florida International 9- 8 1 1 0.39
508 H West Georgia 7- 6 1 4 - -2.66
509 H West Georgia 10- 5 5 4 1.34
510 H West Georgia 5- 2 3 4 -0.66
512 H Florida Atlantic 3- 9 -6 1 --- -6.99
514 H SE Louisiana 3- 3 0 0 0.20
515 H Northwestern State 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.40
516 A Jacksonville 1- 2 -1 0 -0.75
521 H Central Arkansas 4- 3 1 2 -1.03
521 A Lipscomb 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.14
522 A North Florida 3- 1 2 0 + 2.07
523 H North Alabama 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A West Georgia 4- 9 -5 2 --- -7.31 428 H Florida Atlantic 1- 8 -7 1 --- -7.99 512 H Florida Atlantic 3- 9 -6 1 --- -6.99 221 H Stonehill 4- 3 1 7 -- -5.65 227 H Boston College 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.88 324 H South Florida 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.16 331 A Miami of Florida 4-12 -8 -2 -- -5.74 403 A West Georgia 6- 9 -3 2 -- -5.31 411 H Jacksonville 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.10 417 A Queens University 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.61 419 A Queens University 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.61 515 H Northwestern State 2- 4 -2 3 -- -5.40 521 A Lipscomb 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.14 225 H Indiana State 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.43 308 A Bethune-Cookman 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.72 313 H Queens University 2- 1 1 5 - -3.96 314 H Queens University 4- 2 2 5 - -2.96 424 H North Florida 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.28 508 H West Georgia 7- 6 1 4 - -2.66 523 H North Alabama 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Kansas 6- 1 5 -4 +++ 8.75 224 H Indiana State 17- 1 16 2 +++ 11.57 228 H Boston College 11- 5 6 -1 +++ 7.12 306 H Jacksonville State 11- 3 8 -2 +++ 10.34 307 A Bethune-Cookman 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.28 313 H Queens University 11- 0 11 5 +++ 6.04 321 H Texas A&M 6- 2 4 -4 +++ 8.25 426 H North Florida 13- 3 10 1 +++ 8.72 501 A Stetson 8- 1 7 1 +++ 6.37 220 A Iowa 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.44 310 A Florida International 11- 6 5 1 ++ 4.39 301 H Boston College 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.12 410 A South Alabama 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.80 414 A Florida Atlantic 8- 6 2 0 + 2.36 502 A Stetson 6- 2 4 1 + 3.37 522 A North Florida 3- 1 2 0 + 2.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 2- 1 -8.04 10.38 -0.68 0.51 9.85
3 H North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 19-18 -8.04 10.38 -0.68 0.51 9.85
3 H North Dakota S ( 4-14, 91.9) 10- 6 -8.04 10.38 -0.68 0.51 9.85
3 A Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 6- 1 -2.76 15.66 0.68 0.51 16.58
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 10- 7 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.51 15.26
3 H Stonehill ( 0- 3, 88.1) 4- 3 -11.81 6.62 -0.68 0.51 6.03
3 H Stonehill ( 0- 3, 88.1) 14- 7 -11.81 6.62 -0.68 0.51 6.03
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 17- 1 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.51 10.31
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 4- 5 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.51 -2.10
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 4-10 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.51 -1.20
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 11- 5 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.51 13.91
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 4- 3 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.51 13.91
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 5- 7 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.51 -1.43
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 11- 3 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.51 15.15
3 A Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 13- 5 -8.23 10.20 0.68 0.51 11.03
3 A Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 8- 9 -8.23 10.20 0.68 0.51 -1.92
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 11- 6 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.51 12.16
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 11- 0 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.51 7.74
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 2- 1 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.51 7.74
3 H Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 4- 2 -10.12 8.30 -0.68 0.51 7.74
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 12-13 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.51 -1.32
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 4- 5 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.51 -1.46
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 6- 2 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 0.51 17.09
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 4- 6 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.51 -1.46
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 3- 7 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.51 -1.52
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 5- 4 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.51 10.77
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 4-12 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.51 -0.91
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 4- 9 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.51 -2.07
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 6- 9 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.51 -2.07
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 6- 2 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.51 10.43
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4- 3 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.51 14.61
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 1- 4 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.51 -1.76
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 4- 1 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.51 11.66
3 A Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 8- 6 -6.15 12.28 0.68 0.51 13.15
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 5- 6 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.51 -2.40
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 5- 0 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.51 9.11
3 A Queens Univers (15-39, 89.8) 5- 6 -10.12 8.30 0.68 0.51 -2.40
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 10- 9 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.51 10.79
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 3- 5 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.51 -1.80
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 5- 3 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.51 11.48
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 13- 3 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.51 11.48
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 1- 8 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.51 -1.73
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 8- 1 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.51 12.14
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 6- 2 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.51 12.14
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 2- 1 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.51 12.14
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 9- 8 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.51 12.16
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 7- 6 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.51 9.06
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 10- 5 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.51 9.06
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 5- 2 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.51 9.06
3 H Florida Atlant (28-26, 93.8) 3- 9 -6.15 12.28 -0.68 0.51 -1.73
3 H Northwestern S ( 4-12, 91.3) 2- 4 -8.56 9.87 -0.68 0.51 -2.34
3 A Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 1- 2 -6.26 12.17 0.68 0.51 -1.42
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 4- 3 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.51 10.72
3 A Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 1- 4 -7.65 10.77 0.68 0.51 -1.77
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 3- 1 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.51 12.85
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 5- 6 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.51 -1.82
------
356.44
|
winning pts = 393.0524 losing points = -36.6165
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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